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Information
to the earthquake project ENCELADUS
An international astrological
team to investigate Earthquake Prediction.
Web Site: http://junojuno2.tripod.com/quake.html
Beginning: May/June 2001
Duration: about 6 months
Co-ordinator: Steve Lee
Members: 16
Deb, USA - North Carolina
Eduardo, CHILE
Emmanuel, FRANCE
Gonzo, MEXICO - Monterrey
Harriet, ENGLAND
Ineke, NEW ZEALAND - Tuaranga
John, ENGLAND
Lynn, USA - Maryland
Mary D. - USA - close by Washington DC
Mary H. - USA - Texas
Marye M. - USA - California
Maureen, USA - New York City
Sontaya Pruenglampoo, THAILAND - Bangkok
Steve, NEW ZEALAND - Masterton
Talia, USA - Alaska
Winfried, AUSTRIA-ITALY - Tyrol
Winfried participates
with his PSI method and the following astrological CA-Method (priorities: midpoints-aspects-symmetries),
which he develops, investigates and applies since 1991:
Short Documentation of the CA-Method
Contents
1. Introduction of the Centering Analyses CA (Software Atlantis)
(The
additional references for the earthquake project are in violet parentheses)
The Centering Analyses
CA is a fully-automatic
points scanner (substitutes the manual dial pointer) which processes the most
important astronomical parameters of the planetary system into a statistical
output with fast insights of the relevant top points:
The CA
are the result of concatenation with centering aspects (computational
entirety of classical and midpoints aspects). The CA transforms the
geometrical horoscope structures via mathematical factors into simpler,
linear pattern. In this case, the symmetrical measure, the aspect accuracy,
the kind of aspect and the relation mass are the most basic criteria for
effectiveness of the centering. All this is measured by a systematical method
by means of quantitative-qualitative factors (aspect factors, orb factors,
relation factors, ...) and represented numeric and graphically. Seen
separately, these measurement points would be slightly significant, but
centred with all remaining ones, they yield the gapless evaluation of the
cosmic total situation. These fine connections are decisive for the detailed
centering analyses and their processing. Only together they yield a
comparative insight and survey into the entirety of the centred planetary
relations (total analysis). The strongest centering formations represent the
central essence of the horoscope relations.
Classical single aspects and centerings in comparsion:
References: The CA evaluation is a procedure that once
determined the stratified situation of relations within the single horoscopes
(that means, that the given situation extracts millionfold further
possibilities), then put these results in relation to a correlated horoscope
group, in order to prove finally connections, which can confirm the achieved
group model with several further corresponding groups in comparison of
pattern matching.
1st stage
> 2nd
stage > 3rd
stage
single analysis >>> group analysis
>>> sets of group analysis
Summarized two centering order can be
distinguished:
- 1. Total
centering: The total centering relations are assigned here onto the single
planets. It presents the solar, lunar, … planetary relations for finer
insights. (The main relations
of the earthquake investigation)
- 2. Single
centering:
Only the single centerings with the planets in the center are
considered here. It presents the planetary position.
2. The CA-Basic details for individual horoscope
data
(For
the detailed study of single earthquake cases)
Example
of centering formation:
Short description of
the details:
3.
stands for the index rank, Z1 stands for the relative most centred point
(centering mean point), Relation point as symbol with position,
rank and metric-quantitative relation density M / deviations from the
three quantitative mean values _ quality values: ranks and
simple/generalised basic value Q1 _ ranks and single/generalised
resonance value Q2 _ qualitative mean rank _ centering
structure value (6Ba1), aspect sets: |Planets asteroids...
fixed stars|;
Aspect line of the centering formations...
Aspect line of the asteroids... and fixed stars, ranks with
quantitative SM and qualitative SQ relation value of the asteroids... and
fixed stars
Fixed star data: 1th size with 3 alphabetic characters, 2nd size with 4
alphabetic characters, 3rd, 4th, 5th size with 5 alphabetic characters. (The
star points S1, S2, … stand for the strongest of the mean fixed star
concentrations regarding the 100 important fixed stars.)
Explanations of the
basically CA details
The centering mass M: (the base value) astrometrical-quantitative
relation value resultant from coherent aspect lots (relation lots), aspect
factors and orb factors.
The quality values Q result from the centering measure
M, the quality factors, the repeated value insert (By it results a value
dynamic) and the value generalization (value adaptation of the qualitative
general ratio about -1:+1,25 to compensation of -1:+1)
Resonance stage Q1:
- The first value includes
itself to the simpler quality.
- The second value includes
itself onto its generalized value.
Resonance stage Q2:
- The first value includes
itself to the simpler quality of the extended resonance.
- The second value includes
itself onto the generalized value of the extended resonance.
(the finally key value)
The structure value (example: 6Aa1) gives information about the comprehensive
connection to a position within the total constellation of a horoscope. It
represents a orientation value of the centered structure plan
(~meaning-event-plan). Longer aspect formations with low structure value
indicate on small relation density of the relations.
Detailed example:
6Aa1
6 stands for the 6 most central,
direct relations (0°/180°-field)
A stands for the relatively
strongest (B for the second strongest one, …) relation zone
a stands for the relatively
strongest (b for the second strongest one, …) relation of a relation group
1 stands for the strongest (2
for the second strongest one, …) relation group of a relation zone. Several
exponents 2/1/3 indicate a multiple attachment (interface
in the transition region) of the relation to other relation groups.
The
structure value sets up a purely planetary approach to the astrological field
theory (houses). In this case the relation zone corresponds to refined
wide-fields, the relation groups correspond the fine-fields. A detailed
analysis yields the respective theme situation.
3. The Astrocodes
The
Astrocode represents the essence of the
entire horoscope after the centering analysis CA. It allows a relatively
easy, rank ordered insight into the given horoscope qualities. In addition it
allows a more efficient data search in connection with larger data amounts or
databases. From the astrological perspective, a primary selection of
horoscopes with similar qualitities can be determined quite easy this way. In
this case the astrocode provides a guideline for every level. It may produce
astrocodes of a specific date, a week, a month, … from specific groups. From
these astrocode details (from spaces of time and other groups) comparable
time or form models can be found out. For this purpose a corresponding
standardization of astrocodes is necessary, which concentrate at
present on two variants: astrocode I (total centering evaluation reference)
and astrocode II (single centering evaluation reference). The following
explains the construction of the Astrocodes by an example:
The
Astrocode
I in
comparison to Astrocode II in the symbol format:
Explanation:
The Astrocode I refers to the evaluation of all
centered midpoint aspects (total centering, planetary whole relations). This
is the most suitable one for the investigation but the more comparative
values are available, the more comprehensive is the insight into further
connections. Astrocode II refers to the evaluation of the midpoint aspects
where the planets are in the center (single centering, centrality of the
planetary positions).
The Astrocode I considers:
- the ranks of the first four signs of the zodiac (
 )
(values with lesser meaning for
the earthquake analyses)
- the ranks of the first three elements (ie~a - iFire, eEarth, ~mean, aWater, oAir),
(values with lesser meaning for
the earthquake analyses)
- the prevailing direction: (.) introversion or (:) extraversion (The reference
is canceled in the case of an balance within +/-10%.),
(values with lesser meaning for
the earthquake analyses)
- the prevailing activity: (x)tensed-aim-oriented,
will-power or ( _)adaptability (The reference is canceled
in the case of an balance within +/-10%.),
(values with lesser meaning for
the earthquake analyses)
- the prevailing quality: (|)constructive or (/) destructive tendencies (The
reference is canceled in the case of an balance within +/-10%.),
- strong centering pair without central planets
(example:
 ),
the planetary ranks [the exponents to 9 (1to1, 2to2, …) combine the
planets with the first nine strongest centering ranks the pointed out (1)
refer to the most central points of a centering; the foot numbers are
the qualitative percentage], to the right outside: (+63) the strongest
quality part, +92 the relatively strongest positive value, -84 the
relatively strongest negative value, those can refer depending on
situation either to "chances" or to "risks".
(values of higher importance
for the earthquake analyses)
The Astrocode II:
Instead of the rank highest sign of the zodiac stand in
the second row the two lights (So, Mo) and the ascendant in their sign with their field
number as a exponent. The rest corresponds to the first row here for
comparison with the single centering (centrality of the single planet
positons). By it the exponents are missing here which refer to the rank
strongest centerings in the astrocode I.
4. The CA-Group details
(The
analysis for the fundamental study of the earthquakes)
The
CA-Group
details or the
CA-Fine-fields
show analyses
of all possible planetary relations of groups according to centering method
(fine-fields: average ~2° orb width). The entities of these analyses describe
(unlike those of the classical wide fields) in each case less sections for
the detailed whole aspect situation. They refer more thoroughly in each case
specific small fields within a larger connection.
All
CA-Group details within a line:
Index. Relation point Rank M: Relation activity/relative
value/ deviation from the mean value/relative value rank and deviation space/relative
value rank and
generated quality value Q1 rank and generated quality value Q2 rank and MSignificance stability MS rank and quality mean value
The
MSignificance stability MS considered in the group analysis
the quantitative fluctuation of the relations.
Thesis: the
higher the fluctuations, the less significant for the examined subject.
5. The Dynamic CA and the CA-Prognosis
(The
analysis for the concluding earthquake prediction)
The
Dynamic
CA is received
by comparative results from two or more CA-Groups details. As a result, one receives the
quantitative-qualitative movements from the differences of the CA-Group
dynamics which can be inserted concrete as qualitative relation factors for
the further processing in the CA-Prognosis.
The CA-Prognosis records a quantitative-qualitative CA-Extract for a specific space of
time (as week, month or year analysis for daily one or several time points
and a percentage selection of qualitatively target pattern). The finally
value row of the Q2-Dynamic represents the effective movements of the target
pattern.
6. The fundamental references to the earthquake
investigation
The
cause of events (here earthquakes) has a lot of factors. Also with the aid of
astrological factors is able to indicate partially such complex
cause-patterns if the corresponding target patterns cover a broad and fine
network (raster).
In this connection
following short information relating to the CA:
· In the CA with data groups of more than
5% inaccurate times, the celestial axes are excluded.
· The CA relation patterns without
celestial axes have 66 raster-points. The CA relation patterns with celestial
axes have 91 raster-points.
· From it are to construct the CA-Dynamics
within a given time. The CA-Dynamics are planned in general with hourly
interval periods. The entire development of only one monthly CA-Dynamic
pattern requires about 4 hours.
General
considerations:
In this connection should considered further, that the
target patterns are dependent on local, time and effect. That
requires the following considerations and additional labors:
- The historical catastrophic
earthquakes and the remaining strong earthquakes without damage effect
require one's own target patterns.
- Every continental shelf
requires particular target patterns.
- Because the patterns change
within a given time, all sections require several temporal target
patterns.
Example:
- For the historical
catastrophic earthquakes: Long-term patterns: total pattern,
medium-term patterns: 100-year patterns, short-term patterns: about 30-
year patterns.
The completion are possible through patterns
of all strong earthquakes:
- Long-term patterns: 3-year
patterns, medium-term patterns: 1-year patterns, short-term patterns:
4-monthly patterns. The short-term patterns are to make topical
monthly.
From it results differences and correspondences which indicate possible
triggerings.
Note: Winfried gathered such analysis
experiences in course predictions to the stock markets and achieved there up
to now an effect about average 65%. Also in this connection, the pattern
dynamics showed a higher efficiency than the pattern presence itself. That
opens a new page and a further possibility to astrology ...
Conclusion: This expenditure is necessary in
order to correspond to some extent the complex cause of events. Also the
system and chaos theory points out, that the events progress regularly
(symmetrical) and irregulary (symmetry-breaking) and that the corresponding
patterns (attractors) are indeed marked through similarity but also through
continual new adaptation and variance.
7. The statistical patterns of the damaging
earthquakes between 1901-2001
Data source: http://www-seismo.hannover.bgr.de/damage_listing.html
Note: The earthquake
recordings of other centuries are incomplete.
Details:
Vertical coordinate:
Number of the damaging earthquakes (in total: 96 cases)
Horizontal coordinate: 100+10 years
Periods of patterns:
blue-pink lines: 30+5-year-period, 20-year-period
Periods of accumulations:
yellow:
below average period A (less than 1 earthquakes per annum)
orange:
average period, or something above B (1-1,5 earthquakes per annum)
red:
strong above-average period C (more than 1,5 earthquakes per annum)
Hypothesis
according the statistical patterns investigation: At present we are in a
period B. A period A should begin in about three-five years,
dependent on further factors.
Condition
of hypothesis:
The accumulations of earthquakes are constant and the recordings of the last
century are almost complete.
Statistical
distribution and risk-potentials to the fatal earthquakes regarding the
zones:
|
Earthquake zones
|
Fatal quake number
1901-2001
|
Fatal quakes per annum
|
Last 2 fatal quakes
|
Degree of general activity
|
Degree of fatal activity
|
Degree
of risk for the next (3) years
|
Degree sum
|
|
S-E-Europa
N-Africa
E-Africa
W-C-Asia
India
E-Asia
Pacific
S-America*
C-America
N-America
|
8
3
2
32
7
12
14
(11) 12
6
1
|
12,5
33,3
50
3
14
8,3
7
(9) 8,3
16,6
100
|
1980/99
1960/80
1912/82
1998/98
1993/2001
1975/76
1998/99
1979/87 2001
1986/2001
1906
|
1
1
1
2
1
1
3
2
1
1
|
2
1
1
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
|
1
1
1
3
1
3
2
(3)* 1
1
2
|
4
3
3
8
4
6
7
(7)* 5
4
4
|
* Note: In the meantime an earthquake hits
South
America
with a lot of deaths (24.06.2001).
Conclusion:
The target points of an astrological prediction initiative to possible
damaging earthquakes:
- Danger periods for the coming
(3) years: The exploration of 1-2 (hardly more) danger periods per year.
- Danger zones for the coming
(3) years: West and East Asia (lesser Central A.) (and South America)*.
Perhaps, the highest active Pacific isn't so dangerous to possible next
fatal hits, because of its large dimensions and the relatively sparse
population (excluded some little areas like Japan).
Suggestion:
Program for indication of the earthquake activity (earthquake timing) based
on different time stage averages.
I found out that important
physiological earthquake-indicators could be represented by increasing
averages (mostly after stages of below averages). It needs the following
program for examination more precisely these indicators and for use these in
the prediction of danger times:
The program should show
in a graph, ten time stage averages (gliding means) according to:
- earthquake zones (limitation through geogr. coordinates)
- earthquake strength (limitation through magnitude)
- stage length (gliding means of the last 10, 20, 40, 90, 180 days, of
the 1, 3, 10, 30, 100 years)
8. The Setting of the Centering Analyses CA
The CA takes over the
most important astronomical parameters of the planetary system. A
fully-automatic points scanner processes these into a statistical output with
fast insights of the relevant top points.
The following central values are selected for this earthquake study:
Orbs:
Max. CA-Orb (midpoints, main evaluation): 3°
Maximal orbs of the
classical evaluation (as a secondary evaluation):
Su6° Mo6° Me4° Ve4° Ma4° Ju4° Sa4° Ur3° Ne3° Pu3° Mn4° - Ac4° Mc4°
Annotations:
The results of this evaluation concern 1-5% (or on the average 3,5%) of
the main evaluation, depending on horoscope. (Classically aspect factor:
0,8)
The celestial axes are applied only additional in the case of precise time
data.
Aspects:
Aspects/angles: 0°/180°, 90°, 60°/120°, 45°/135°, 30°/150°
This consider all midpoints and aspect relations of the circle division
("Harmonics"): 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 12.
The CA-Factors
evaluate moreover:
- More precise aspects with
stronger values than more inaccurate, in connection with the orb factor:
 Orb level of max. consideration 100%
- Regularer (symmetrical)
structures stronger than irregular structures:
Centering with the effect of the aspect
factors
The resulting
ratio of the CA-Fine-Fields:
2(0°/180°) : 1,6(90°) : 1,6(45°/135°) : 1,6(60°/120°, 30°/150°)
From this the CA develops the corresponding CA-Pattern-Lines of the
planetary relations.
In a further step, the results of these planetary pictures get further
factors (Q). With it, the recognition of pattern is possible for certain time
intervals. Finally, the dynamics of these patterns receive an additional
attention.
On the basis of these
basic results, following parameters could included supplementary in specific
single and group studies:
Fixed stars, fixed star concentrations, Lilith (Black Moon), Chiron,
asteroids (4), horizontal perspective.
9. The analysis plan
for the fatal earthquakes (method: Centering Analyses CA)
Winfried will
implement the following plan in the coming weeks and month (modifications
reserved).
1.-2.
General, historical analyses
3.-4.
Earthquake zone analyses
5.
Analyses between fatal and non-fatal earthquake patterns
6.
Dynamics analyses of earthquake patterns
1.-2. Historical analyses
The following historical analyses show the time modification degree of the
fatal earthquake patterns.
1.
Historical CA-Comparisons of fatal earthquakes part I (856-2001)
Block A (without celestial axes: pattern
length 66)
- all fatal earthquakes (179
cases) between 856-2001
- fatal earthquakes with
(precise) time specification (125 cases) in 856-2001
- fatal earthquakes with
(precise) time specification (96 cases) in 1900-2001
Block
B (with
celestial axes: pattern length 91)
- fatal earthquakes with
(precise) time specification (125 cases) in 856-2001
- fatal earthquakes with
(precise) time specification (96 cases) in 1900-2001
2.
Historical CA-Comparisons of fatal earthquakes part 2 (1900-2001)
Block A (without celestial axes: pattern
length 66)
- fatal
earthquakes (57 cases) in 1900-1975
- fatal
earthquakes (39 cases) in 1975-2001
- fatal
earthquakes (9 cases) in 1997-2001
Block B
(with celestial axes: pattern length 91)
- fatal
earthquakes (57 cases) in 1900-1975
- fatal
earthquakes (39 cases) in 1975-2001
- fatal
earthquakes (9 cases) in 1997-2001
3.-4. Earthquake zone analyses
The following zone analyses show the local modification degree of the
earthquake patterns.
3.
CA-Comparisons of fatal earthquakes (1900-2001) regarding the most relevant
earthquake zones.
Block A (without celestial axes: pattern
length 66)
- South-East Europe
(8 cases)
- Asia (51 cases)
- Pacific (14
cases)
- South America
(11 cases)
- Central America
(6 cases)
Block B
(with celestial axes: pattern length 91)
- South-East
Europe (8 cases)
- Asia (51 cases)
- Pacific (14
cases)
- South America
(11 cases)
- Central America (6
cases)
4.
CA-Comparisons of fatal earthquakes (1975-2001) of the currently most
relevant earthquake zones.
The the following analyses are relevant for the first pattern
calibration.
Block A (without celestial axes: pattern
length 66)
- Asia (20 cases)
- Pacific (8
cases)
- South America
(3 cases)*
Block
B (with
celestial axes: pattern length 91)
- Asia (20 cases)
- Pacific (8
cases)
- South America
(3 cases)*
*
Note: In the meantime
an earthquake hit South America with a lot of deaths. So, these analyses are dropped regarding South America.
5. CA-Comparisons between fatal and non-fatal
earthquakes
The following comparison analyses attempt to indicate additional differences
between fatal and non-fatal earthquake patterns. The determination of such
differences are important for the following prediction reasons:
- The most strong earthquakes
cause no damage.
- It exists also weaker
earthquakes which cause damage.
- Question: Exist
differentiating indicators for earthquake victims sufficiently which are
also valid for more (all) earthquake zones and earthquake times?
Block
A
(without
celestial axes: pattern length 66)
CA-Comparisons between the fatal and the strong, non-fatal earthquakes of
following most relevant earthquake periodes:
- 1974-76 strongly fatal
earthquake period B-C (11 cases)
- 1997-2001 fatal earthquake
period B in (9 cases)
- Comparison analysis of the
resultant fatal-indicators with other fatal earthquakes (regarding the
historical groups and the zones groups).
Block
B (with
celestial axes: pattern length 91)
CA-Comparisons between the fatal and the strong, non-fatal earthquakes of
following most relevant earthquake periodes:
- 1974-76 strongly fatal
earthquake period B-C (11 cases)
- 1997-2001 fatal earthquake
period B in (9 cases)
- Comparison analysis of the
resultant fatal-indicators with other fatal earthquakes (regarding the
historical groups and the zones groups).
6. CA-Dynamic of the earthquake patterns
The following dynamic analyses indicate the efficiency of the earthquake
patterns regarding its building and dissolving stage.
Comparative
CA-Dynamics of
the fatal earthquakes between 1975-2001 regarding the following most relevant
earthquake zone:
10.
Download
Indicator analyses of fatal earthquakes
regarding the Centering Analysis CA (Extraction)
(75
KB, last update 8th October 2001)
CONTENT
Introduction
Short explanations
PRELIMINARY INDICATOR ANALYSES
The general earthquake indicators regarding the historical analyses
The general earthquake indicators on the patterns of the earthquake zones
The general indicators in comparison to the indicators of the earthquake
zones
The analyses with celestial axes
EARTHQUAKE ANALYSES REGARDING DEEP (300KM+) AND STRONGEST EARTHQUAKES (M7+)
Comparing indicator analyses between the fatal earthquakes and the deep and
strongest earthquakes without fatal effect
The dynamics of the indicators in the day phase before the event
The dynamics of the indicators in the minute phase before the event (with
celestial axes)
A further indicator group
Comment
THE GENERAL INDICATORS IN COMPARISON WITH A SELECTION OF FEW
EARTHQUAKES
11. Links
Further information of
earthquake data:
http://www-seismo.hannover.bgr.de/damage_listing.html
http://www-seismo.hannover.bgr.de/ermos_listing.html
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